An effect of this is that pioneers who are particularly capable in a given place and time may have the chance to fail either when transplanted in another condition, i.e. when the parts surrounding them change. Contingency theory is similar to situational speculation in that it does not assume any essential method. The key difference is that situational theory tends to focus more on the practices that the pioneer should master, given the components of the situation. However, probabilistic speculation takes a broader view that merges unanticipated elements about the pioneer's ability and various variables within the condition (Changing